Energy Markets
Mozambique LNG Area 1 Project Receives Official Cabinet Approval
Based on the comprehensive analysis provided, the following seven paragraphs detail the strategic framework and implications of the Rovuma Basin's Area 1 project restart from a third-person perspective:
The decision to restart the Mozambique LNG Area 1 project is underpinned by a strategic policy framework designed to manage a transformational energy asset in a post-conflict environment. The formal approval by the Council of Ministers in November 2025 represents a significant governance milestone, ending a force majeure period that lasted over four years. This demonstrates an enhanced institutional capacity for overseeing complex extractive sector decisions.
A central component of the governance structure is the mandatory independent audit of all costs accrued during the suspension. This risk mitigation strategy serves to verify technical expenditures, preserve government contestation rights, and reinforce institutional oversight. This transparency mechanism balances the needs for investor confidence with sovereign oversight responsibilities, setting a potential precedent for governance in other African extractive projects.
The reinstatement of the project's 30-year development term is critical for restoring financing confidence. This provides the contractual predictability required for long-cycle capital allocation and debt structuring across the project's multi-decade timeline, which is essential for an investment of this scale—reportedly the largest private investment ever undertaken in Africa.
The operational remobilisation will proceed through a phased strategy. An initial administrative phase will be followed by infrastructure rehabilitation and finally production preparation, leading to a targeted first LNG cargo delivery around 2028-2029. This structured approach manages complex logistical and regulatory requirements while reactivating local procurement chains and employment.
The project's resumption carries broad economic implications, acting as a catalyst for Mozambique's development. It is projected to stimulate significant indirect employment and activate multi-billion-dollar value chains across logistics, transport, and local services. Furthermore, it positions Mozambique as a key player in regional energy security and diversification strategies.
The security environment in Cabo Delgado remains a consideration, though improved conditions enabled the restart decision. The project's viability relies on multi-layered security coordination and maintaining a social licence through continuous community engagement and transparent benefit-sharing mechanisms with local populations.
Favorable global LNG market dynamics, characterized by demand centers seeking supply diversification, create a strategic window for Mozambique's re-entry. The project's competitive advantages, including geographic proximity to markets and existing infrastructure, position it to capture market share during a period of high buyer interest in new supply sources.